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Probability Calculator

Work out chances, permutations, and combinations โ€” with every count shown.

Count the favourable outcomes, then divide by all equally likely outcomes.

How to use this calculator

Choose Simple probability, Permutations, or Combinations and enter whole-number counts. Press Calculate to see the working; for counting modes use 0 โ‰ค r โ‰ค n โ‰ค 12, and for simple probability make the total positive and the favourable count no greater than it.

How the calculation works

With equally likely outcomes, probability = favourable outcomes รท total outcomes. Permutations count ordered selections without replacement: nPr = n!/(n โˆ’ r)!. Combinations count unordered selections without replacement: nCr = n!/[r!(n โˆ’ r)!]. A factorial multiplies a positive integer by every smaller positive integer, with 0! defined as 1.

Worked examples

  1. 1. Find a fair die probability

    A fair six-sided die has three even outcomes: 2, 4, 6. Enter favourable 3 and total 6: P(even) = 3/6 = 1/2 = 50%.

  2. 2. Count ordered positions

    Choose Permutations with n = 5 and r = 2. There are 5 choices for first place and 4 for second, so 5P2 = 5 ร— 4 = 20.

  3. 3. Choose a pair without order

    Choose Combinations with n = 5 and r = 2. Each unordered pair appears twice in the ordered count, so 5C2 = 20/2 = 10.

Frequently asked questions

When should I use permutations instead of combinations?

Use permutations when changing the order changes the outcome, such as first and second places. Use combinations for a group where the same members count once regardless of order.

Can I count selections with repetition?

Not with these counting modes. They assume distinct items selected without replacement; arrangements such as repeated digits need a different formula.

Why does simple probability require equally likely outcomes?

Counting alone gives a probability only when each counted outcome has the same chance. A biased die or unequal item weights cannot be modeled merely by favourable and total counts.

Why is n limited to 12?

The current counting implementation deliberately caps n at 12 for exact small counts. The limit applies to permutations and combinations, not to the same-size total in simple probability. Choosing zero items gives one empty selection.

Keep learning with related tools

Convert chance fractions with the Fraction and Percentage calculators. The probability lesson develops sample spaces and equally likely outcomes. Related tools: Fraction Calculator, Percentage Calculator. Read the Probability lesson or practice probability to build confidence without relying on a calculator.